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ArticlesYear 2000 Promises Strange Days Ahead


February 1996 / News & Views / Year 2000 Promises Strange Days Ahead

What's in a date? Oh, about $400 billion. That's how much analysts say will be spent worldwide addressing the notorious year 2000 date-change problem. Software vendors, analysts, and trade-show organizers offer a wide array of products and services to help organizations modify programs that now represent years as two-digit dates (e.g., 00), instead of four-digit dates (2000).

Companies with actuarial, real estate, accounting, and financial applications that make long-term calculations are modifying their programs to prevent them from breaking when they calculate long-term figures beyond 1999. A typical Fortune 1000 company can expect to spend $1 to $1.50 per line of COBOL code that needs to be fixed, according to the Software Productivity Group (SPG, Westboro ugh, MA).

The problem isn't limited to COBOL programs running on mainframes, according to Eliot Weinman, president of SPG, whose recent conference on the problem was a sellout (the company will hold another one in March). "As a result of extensive downsizing, many companies have downloaded data from the mainframe to PC databases," he says. Mark Sokol, vice president of product strategy at Computer Associates (Islandia, NY), agrees. "These issues affect Visual Basic, PowerBuilder, and other applications as much as they do the mainframe."

Many companies have already converted their programs, especially insurance, banking, and human-resource applications that reference dates in the distant future. But Weinman says others are just now grappling with the issue, and that as the date gets closer, companies may have to farm out some program modifications to countries such as India, which have lower pay rates for programmers. "Every single company in the world is going to have to test it s code," he says. But one company's problem is another's opportunity. Says Weinman, "A whole subindustry in services and consulting has sprung up around this problem."

Vendors advise buyers to be sure their new software handles its dates properly.


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Flexible C++
Matthew Wilson
My approach to software engineering is far more pragmatic than it is theoretical--and no language better exemplifies this than C++.

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