soap opera of Wagnerian proportions featuring competing equipment vendors, content providers, and merchants.
Just a year ago, the major obstacles (primarily copy protection) had seemingly been overcome. But just last summer, Hewlett-Packard, Sony, and Philips proposed
another new standard
for recordable discs (DVD+RW) that was incompatible with the DVD-RAM standard the DVD Forum (an industry group
including
Sony and Philips) had agreed to only three months previously. Then NEC floated yet another rewritable format. However, it may align with Sony. Ricoh, Yamaha, and Mitsubishi have all indicated support for DVD+RW. Matsushita, Hitachi, and Toshiba are sticking with the DVD Forum.
DVD-RAM uses a "land groove" format (recording signals on both the grooves formed on the disc and in the lands in between grooves) to store up to 2.6 GB per side. In con
trast, DVD+RW uses signal-phase changes to get 3 GB per side and reportedly handle both RAM and ROM functions.
While it's hard to even imagine money influencing a technology decision, some in the industry do believe the dispute is grounded in royalty payments and marketing concerns, not technology. But there's one bright spot: Both systems read current DVD-video discs.
In the realm of DVD-audio, there are also competing standards, lined up just like the RAM versus +RW fight. And then there's the 4.7-GB-per-disc DVD-R, a write-once format aimed at developers, not consumers.
The beat goes on. The latest proposal, Divx, is based on a marketing model akin to video rentals. You pay a small fee to have a movie loaded on your DVD and can play it for up to 48 hours thereafter. Divx requires a modem connection to authorize playback and -- of course -- it's incompatible with current hardware. The system would be a clear nonstarter if it weren't backed by Disney, Dreamworks SKG, Par
amount, and Universal. Divx has clearly muddied the DVD waters and has almost certainly pulled back the growth potential (or at least the timetable) for all DVD technologies.
I would be tempted to predict that DVD will never realize its potential, if there were any good alternative on the horizon. But there isn't, so 1998 looks like another year of slow growth and infighting.
Where to Find
Robert Lundemo Aas's DVD page:
Internet:
http://janus.unik.no/%7Erobert/hifi/dvd/
Main newsgroup: