software, then denying them central support if they do. Centralized, automated management of desktops can reduce TCO by as much as 25 percent, according to estimates by the Gartner Group.
In 2Q1998, Microsoft expects to release Windows 98, which will be the first operating system to embed Zero Administration for Windows (ZAW), a Microsoft initiative promoting centralized, automated management for desktops. ZAW is out in kit form for Windows 95. ZAW can restrict users from installing unau
thorized software and accessing network resources; it can also lock down machines entirely.
Sealed, low-cost, thin-profile desktop computers, such as those being built according to the Intel/Microsoft-sponsored NetPC specification, provide minor additional benefits, adding perhaps another 3 percent to the savings that are possible with centralized management. However, NetPCs are not designed to function if the network is down, since their local hard disk is only for caching. Nor can people install software locally, since there are no local storage devices such as floppy disk drives or CD-ROM drives.
Because of these limitations, even proponents like Compaq say the NetPC
will garner
no more than 10 to 15 percent of the market. Neutral sources such as market research firm International Data Corporation (Framingham, MA) predict market share of only 1 to 2 percent, even by 2001.
Even at these low rates of adoption, the NetPC might accomplish its primary task: countering th
e publicity blitz associated with the network computer (NC) promoted by Sun, Oracle, and others. The network computer is itself now expected to garner no more than 2 percent of the market by the year 2000, according to the Gartner Group.
Where to Find
NetPC specifications are available at:
Internet:
http://www.eu.microsoft.com/hwdev/netpc.htm