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ArticlesAlpha's Future


February 1998 / International Bits / Alpha's Future

What the Intel deal means.

Nebojsa Novakovic

Digital Equipment's Alpha architecture has been the CPU performance leader for almost the entire time since its arrival in 1992, and it's the only non-x86 NT architecture. Yet it accounts for a relatively small share of the workstation and server markets. Will the recent Digital-Intel settlement change anything ?

In this settlement, Intel licensed the right to use Alpha technology (which remains under Digital ownership) and its related patents. The company also purchased the Digital Semiconductor manufacturing and sales operation. This settled the existing patent-infringement issue between Digital and Intel.

The deal generated both pessimistic and optimistic comments. Pessimists warned that it's the end of the Alpha, as Digital will now support the IA-64. Optimists believe that Digital will now have more resources to accelerate Alpha designs for multiple foundries. "This agreement meets both companies' needs," says Craig Barrett, president and chief operating officer at Intel.

According to Syed Ali, executive director of Alpha marketing at Samsung Semiconductor, "Samsung is now poised to take the lead in Alpha manufacturing, on both the price and the performance fronts." He adds that Samsung is not alone in its long-term Alpha support, noting that "Mitsubishi will also offer current and future Alpha PC processors, and AMD will use the ultrafast 21264 Alpha bus for its K7." That could make possible future chip sets and mainboards that support both the K7 and the 21264 Alpha families, according to Ali.

However, if the Alpha is to survive the Merced attack and take a significant market share away from Intel, the CPU needs to not only be priced affordably but also widen its performance delta against future Intel products. Ali expects his company's Alpha chips to reach the 1-GHz level by the end of this year, providing performance of well over 60 SPECint95 and 90 SPECfp95. Looking at Intel's rough Merced performance road map, the 1-GHz 21264 should be faster than the initial Merced, which will appear a year or so later.

Aaron Bauch, Alpha technical marketing manager at Digital Semiconductor, says that the Intel deal enables Digital and other Alpha partners to accelerate the performance road map because they will be able to make use of new CMOS processes faster. For instance, the jump to the 0.18-micron process, which was originally slated for late 2000 or early 2001, is now due to take place in late 1999. This will enable both higher operating frequencies and better features sets.

Jesse Lipcon of Digital stated in his keynote speech at DECUS Anaheim 1997 that the schedule for 0.18-micron Alpha microprocessors has been accelerated by roughly a year (to late 1999, accor ding to other sources). He said that this change in scheduling is a result of the recent Digital-Intel agreement.

Besides maximizing the performance of the EVxx Alpha family and enabling it to offer twice the performance of Intel chips at a similar price, Samsung is also tuning several new-generation chip sets for specific PC, workstation, or server use. According to Ali, Samsung is also using its expertise with fine processes for next-generation memories to accelerate the Alpha's move to smaller processes and greater speeds. In addition, the 64-bit version of Windows NT5.0, running on an Alpha as a 64-bit architecture, will give the Alpha a huge time-to-market edge over the Merced.

With foundries and partners gradually embarking on designing their own CPU derivatives, chip sets, and other support, the Alpha processor is now less dependent on Digital for both its technical and marketing development. Whether all this will make the Alpha a serious alternative to the IA-32 and IA-64 remains to be see n: The ball is now in the Alpha-powered alliance court.


New-Generation x86 and Alpha Processors *

New-Generation x86 and Alpha Processors *
Processor Time of
intro-
duction
Frequency range (MHz) Process technology (microns) Instruction/
cycle peak
Architecture (bits) Internal cache (KB) External cache bus (bits) Frequency range (MHz) External memory bus (bits) Frequency range (MHz) SPEC-int95 range SPEC-fp95 range
Intel X86
Pentium MMX 4Q '96 166-266 0.35 2 32 2x16 64 66 64 66 4->7 3->5
Pentium II 2Q '97 233-333 0.35 3 (OO) 32 2x16 64 116-166 64 66 9->13 7->9
Deschutes 2Q '98 350-450 0.25 3 (OO) 32 2x16 64 175-450 64 100 14->18 11->14
Katmai 1Q '99 400-500 0.25 3 (OO) 32 2x32 64 400-500 64 100+ 17->21 16->20
Willamette 4Q '99 500-600+ 0.18 5 (OO) 32 2x64 128 500-600+ 128 100+ 28+ 26+
Merced 4Q '99 600+ 0.18 N/A 64 N/A 128 N/A 128 N/A 50+ 70+
Digital Alpha (also Samsung, Mitsubishi)
21164 1Q '96 400-600 0.35 4 64 2x8 + 96 128 133-200 128 66-133 12->19 18->29
21164PC 4Q '97 400-533 0.35 4 64 8 + 16 128 100-133 128 66-133 11->14 13->17
21164PC 2Q '98 600-800 0.25 4 64 16 + 32 128 300-400 128 66-266 17->23 21->29
21264 2Q '98 700-1000 0.25 4 (OO) 64 2x64 128 350-667 64 200-500 50->70 70->100
21264PC 4Q '98 600-900 0.25 4 (OO) 64 2x32 128 N/A 64 N/A 35->50 50->70
21364 4Q '99 1200+ 0.18 N/A 64 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 140+ 200+
Key: * Road-map estimates according to independent sources. OO = out-of-order execution. N/A = information not available.
Pentium MMX and Alpha 21164xx CPUs have shared external cache and memory paths.
For the sake of clarity, not all processor models and bus-speed combinations are included.


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